The British pound is greater on Thursday. Within the European session, GBP/USD is buying and selling at 1.2924, up 0.50% on the day.
UK Retail Gross sales Anticipated Decrease for February
The UK releases the February retail sales report on Friday, with the markets bracing for a decline of 0.3% m/m. Retail gross sales soared 1.7% in January, crushing expectations and hitting the best stage since Could 2024. Annualized, retail gross sales are anticipated to ease to 0.5%, down from 1% in January.
The Confederation of British Trade (CBI) reported a pointy drop in gross sales volumes in March, because the retail gross sales index fell to -41, down from -23 in February. This was the bottom studying since July 2024.
The CBI reported that retailers blamed the gentle report on international commerce tensions and the autumn funds have dampened shopper and enterprise confidence, resulting in decreased demand.
Companies will see a rise in employers’ taxes subsequent month, which might result in vital job losses, which in flip will harm shopper spending.
The UK may also launch remaining GDP information for the fourth quarter. The preliminary estimate confirmed that the economic system expanded 0.1% after no progress in Q3. Annualized, the preliminary estimate got here in at 1.4%, up from 1.0% in Q3. The ultimate estimates are anticipated to verify the preliminary readings, which might point out that the UK economic system continues to wrestle.
US GDP Ticks Greater to 2.4%
Within the US, Last GDP (third estimate) for the fourth quarter got here in at 2.4% y/y, barely greater unchanged than the two.3% achieve within the earlier two estimates. This was down sharply from the three.1% in Q3. The Federal Reserve is fastidiously monitoring the economic system’s sluggish decline and has signaled it’s going to decrease charges twice throughout the yr.
GBP/USD Technical
- GBP/USD is testing resistance at 1.2940, adopted by resistance at 1.2991
- 1.2864 and 1.2813 are the following help ranges